Marquette Law Poll: Trump gains on Clinton in Wisconsin

Feingold-Johnson race also narrows

Republican Donald Trump gained on Democrat Hillary Clinton in the latest poll conducted by the Marquette University Law School.Trump-Clinton-012816-shutterstock

Clinton had 42 percent of registered voters’ support, while Trump had 37 percent in the new poll, conducted Aug. 25 to 28. Another 19 percent said they will vote for neither, will not vote or don’t know for whom they will vote.

In the previous poll, conducted Aug. 4 to 7, Clinton had 46 percent of registered voters’ support, while Trump had 36 percent, with 16 percent expressing no preference.

Among likely voters—those sure they will vote in November—Clinton had 45 percent support in the most recent poll, while Trump had 42 percent. That’s compared to a 52 percent-37 percent matchup favoring Clinton in early August.

“After a strong bump in Clinton’s favor following the national party conventions, the electorate in Wisconsin has returned to about where the vote stood in July, prior to the conventions,” said Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette Law School Poll and Professor of Law and Public Policy.

In the U.S. Senate race, Democrat Russ Feingold had 46 percent of registered voters’ support, while Republican Ron Johnson had 42 percent, with 9 percent having no preference. Earlier this month, it was 49-43 Feingold.

Among likely voters, Feingold was at 48 percent and Johnson at 45 percent. In early August, it was 53-42 Feingold.

Those surveyed were also asked a number of questions about policy.

When asked about immigration, 62 percent of registered voters said undocumented immigrants should be allowed to stay and eventually become U.S. citizens, while 19 percent said they should be allowed to stay temporarily as guest workers and 15 percent said they should be deported.

Asked about the recent civil unrest in Sherman Park, 51 percent of registered voters said they had heard a lot about it, while 29 percent had read or heard some, 15 percent only a little and 4 percent nothing at all. Discussing the police in their community, 86 percent said the police make them feel mostly safe, while 12 percent said they feel mostly anxious around police. Among black and Hispanic respondents, the split was 57 percent safe-37 percent anxious. Asked about the root of the unrest, 37 percent said it was the result of black communities’ anger about decades of disadvantage, while 48 percent said it was mostly because of disrespect for law and order.

Voters’ opinions of Gov. Scott Walker’s job performance improved, with 43 percent approving and 49 percent disapproving. In early August, approval was at 38 percent and disapproval was at 59 percent.

This most recent poll included 803 registered voters interviewed both by landline and cell phone, 650 of whom identified as likely voters. The margin of error was +/-4.5 percent for registered voters and +/-5 percent for likely voters.

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Molly Dill, former BizTimes Milwaukee managing editor.

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