Anemic economic numbers for Wisconsin

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The steady drumbeat of less-than-spectacular economic data for Wisconsin in recent months appears to be having a negative impact on the collective psyche of the stateโ€™s employers.

Most of the latest economic projections have Wisconsin falling behind the national curves when it comes to jobs and economic development.

  • The U.S. Department of Commerceโ€™s Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that Wisconsinโ€™s economy grew at 1.5 percent in 2012, placing it behind all of its neighboring states and 32nd in the nation. A stateโ€™s gross domestic product (GDP) represents the value of all goods and services produced within its borders.
  • Wisconsinโ€™s six-month economic forecast ranks 49th in the nation, according to the latest state-by-state analysis by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Wisconsinโ€™s coincident growth index stands at -0.74 percent. Wyoming is the only state with a lower projection.
  • The production rate of Milwaukee-area manufacturers contracted for the second consecutive month in May, according to the latest report by the Institute for Supply Management-Milwaukee.
  • The U.S. Chamber of Commerce ranked Wisconsin last out of 50 states for short-term job growth.

The Marquette-ISM Report on Manufacturing showed the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), a measure of manufacturing growth, dipped to 40.67 in May, slipping from 48.43 in April. Any rate below 50 indicates a contraction in production. The May index showed accelerated declines in new orders, production, employment and inventories.

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So, it was not shocking to see the outlooks for the second half of 2013 be less optimistic among respondents to the BizTimes Mid-Year Reader Dashboard Survey. According to the latest survey:

  • 60 percent of readers are forecasting increased revenues for their company in the second half of the year, down from 73 percent at the mid-year point in 2012.
  • 55 percent of readers are forecasting increased profits for their company in the second half of the year, down from 63 percent a year earlier.
  • 35 percent of readers are projecting increased hiring in the second half of the year, down from 54 percent a year earlier.
  • 30 percent of readers plan to make significant investments in equipment in the second half of the year, down from 36 percent a year earlier.
  • 10 percent of readers plan to expand their office/plant space in the second half of the year, down from 21 percent a year earlier.
  • 10 percent of readers plan to move their company to a new location in the second half of the year, up from 9 percent a year earlier.
  • 25 percent of readers plan to provide an employee wellness program in the second half of the year, down from 38 percent a year earlier.
  • 30 percent expect their employee health care benefit costs to rise by up to 10 percent in the second half of the year, down from 52 percent a year earlier.
  • Of those expecting health care benefit costs to rise, 75 percent plan to pass along some or all of their increased costs to employees, up from 50 percent a year earlier.
  • 63 percent expect to increase their investments in branding, advertising and marketing, matching the 63 percent a year earlier.
  • 10 percent have a customized smart phone โ€œappโ€ for their companies, down from 14 percent a year earlier.
  • 70 percent will provide employee pay raises in 2013, up from 69 percent a year earlier.
  • 65 percent will increase the prices of their goods and services in 2013, up from 56 percent a year earlier.
  • 66 percent believe the stateโ€™s business climate is improving, down from 73 percent a year earlier.

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